← Store championship @ Trinity
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Store championship @ Trinity
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.0%
avg ELO +1.9 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1222
· median 1222
· range 1222–1222
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1067
Q1 1118
Q3 1248
1382
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aetherwing | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Assassin | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 12.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.6% | +4.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
